The ONLY "prediction system" that catches losses before they wreck you and finds profits hidden inside your boring business data
This system has been used to grow a 100+ person DTC skincare brand to $50M+/year — and now you can use it to uncover 6- and even 7-figure opportunities, prevent thousands in losses, and hire the right people to build your empire.
No matter how successful you are right now, your business is either silently bleeding cash or sitting on untapped revenue you can't see
You could be making $50K, $100K, $200K or more a month. You're successful, and on the outside, everything looks good.
But I would bet you've succeeded mostly on instinct, grit, and hard work. All vital qualities… but you've probably hit a point where you are the linchpin keeping the business together. If you tried to step away, it would all fall apart.
And you likely don't know how to accurately measure all the ways you achieved your success. Which puts you in the most dangerous position. You have a ton to lose and no understanding of how to grow beyond yourself. This is what keeps great entrepreneurs stuck under $10 million.
But it's also what prevents you from seeing the enormous opportunities to add multiple 6-figures of revenue to your bottom line — or plug up the money leaks that currently exist.
If you can't tell with certainty if a new product will succeed or fail before pouring $50K into it... or if the person you just hired is crushing it or costing you money before burning tens of thousands on them... or which of your products you should push harder with ad spend... or where exactly you're losing money or leaving it on the table...
Then you need an entirely new operating system. No amount of Shopify dashboards or Klaviyo reports are going to fix this.
I know, because I've lived it. And it's why I developed a system that could tell me, with real data, which products will win bigger with more spend, guaranteed. I can see in the first week whether a new launch is going to succeed or fail. I can evaluate a new hire's performance every single week instead of finding out months later that they've been quietly destroying value.
In other words, I developed a system that replaces gut instincts with data-driven predictions that consistently come true.
The Operational Prediction System behind a $50M+ DTC brand
My name is Kyle Jesse. I'm a Six Sigma Black Belt with an Executive MBA and 15+ years of operational experience across defense contracting, financial services, manufacturing, SaaS, nonprofits, real estate, and DTC ecommerce. I currently run operations for a $50M+ DTC skincare brand — 100+ person team, fully remote, consistently growing — and I do it with one ops person.
Over those 15 years, I was trained in every major operational methodology out there. Six Sigma. Lean. EOS. The kind of stuff Fortune 500 companies spend millions implementing. But about 80% of those systems are designed for companies doing hundreds of millions or billions in revenue. Bloated. Slow. Requiring massive teams and months of implementation.
I took the 20% of operational methodology that actually works at every stage — from a 5-person startup to a 100-person brand — and distilled it into a four-step system I call the Operational Prediction System.
Map it
Take any process in your business and break it into a simple visual model of what goes in, what happens, and what comes out. Black Box Modeling lets you see inside any function of your company for the first time.
Measure it
Identify the specific leading indicators and KPIs at each stage. Not vanity metrics. Not lagging numbers that tell you what already went wrong. The numbers that predict what's about to happen — catching a delivery problem before customers flood your inbox.
Trend it
Put those metrics into trend charts that show you, in about 3 seconds, whether things are improving, declining, or flat. Replace gut feel, spreadsheet diving, and single-day panic with actual visual proof of where your business is headed.
Hand it off
Once you can see inside a process and measure its performance, you can confidently delegate it. Document it, train them, set a handoff date, monitor the trend chart. If the numbers hold — you never touch it again.
That's the whole system. You can learn it in an afternoon. And once you know it, you can apply it to any department, any workflow, any function in your business. Forever. This is what I teach consulting clients at $250/hour. Rhythm & Results puts the entire thing in your hands for a fraction of that.
Real numbers. Real results.
How this system stopped a failed product launch from burning our entire budget
We launched a new product at my DTC skincare brand with a big budget and even bigger expectations. But instead of launching and crossing our fingers, we installed specific measurements at every stage of the customer journey.
Within days, the numbers told a clear story — this new offer was tracking way below anything we'd ever had that turned out good. So we pulled the plug. About 20% sooner than planned.
That saved us at least $50K in ad spend that would have been dumped into a failing product for weeks while we "gave it more time." Most founders would have kept pushing. Would have told themselves it just needs to find its audience. We saw it in the first week. Not because I'm a genius. Because the system told me.
The hidden revenue a client had been missing for months — buried inside their own data
I consulted with a DTC brand tracking their marketing spend the way most founders do: total budget in, total revenue out. Blended return: about 3x. Everything seemed fine. We installed the Operational Prediction System and broke those numbers down further.
We found one segment converting at 5–6x. Almost double the average. It had been doing this for months. Nobody noticed because it was buried inside the blended number. Reallocating the budget toward the winner generated over $100,000 in additional revenue. It was staring them right in the face. They just couldn't see it.
And at the same time, we found channels where they were wasting money. Segments where we should cut spend. Cash going out the door for no reason. Every single month.
How putting the right system in place stopped a team member from becoming a ticking time bomb
Most businesses will, at some point, hire a team member who's a ticking time bomb. Not because they'll explode — but because their actions will quietly hurt the business. Orders fulfilled wrong. The wrong item in packages. A team member answering phones with the wrong script, costing you sales you'll never know you lost. The damage isn't the explosion. The damage is the invisible accumulation.
A client hired someone to manage a critical part of their business. No processes. No measurement. No checks. Months later, the damage was everywhere — unnecessary purchases, massive overstocking, customer service falling apart, awful reviews, cancellations piling up. The owner had zero visibility.
I came in, mapped the workflows, put basic measurements in place, and found out the person they'd hired wasn't doing much at all. We replaced them with someone cheaper who had clear processes to follow. The new person performed better. When you have the right system in place, you don't need to pay top dollar for talent. You need the system plus a capable person who follows it.
When you predict instead of guess
- You stop spending 3–4 hours a day giving direction to each person. You glance at a chart for 10 seconds and know whether a department is running right.
- You stop managing tasks and start assigning responsibilities. You tell someone: you own this workflow. Here are the inputs, the work, and the outputs we measure. They run it. You check a chart. If the numbers hold, you don't touch it.
- You launch a new product and know in the first week whether it's going to fly or fail. Not months later after you've burned through your entire ad budget.
- You look at your marketing spend and see exactly which segments are converting at 5x and which ones are wasting money. You reallocate in an afternoon.
- You hire someone and track their impact every week. A trend line tells you whether they're adding value or draining it.
- Two weeks of green on a new offer? You don't wait another month to scale. You push now. You move faster on your winners because you can see them winning in real time.
- You take a week off. Check two charts. Everything's fine. Phone goes away.
- You stop being self-employed and spread really thin. You start actually owning the business.
- You get your time back. You get the freedom you wanted from being an entrepreneur in the first place. And you make more money.
Rhythm & Results
The only operational prediction system for DTC leaders that lets you uncover hidden revenue, kill money-losing products early, and finally step away from the day-to-day without everything falling apart.
Built on the same framework used to run a $50M+ brand — which works just as well for a solo operation as it does for a 100+ employee company.
Yes — Give Me Rhythm & Results7 modules. Every tool you need.
Black Box Modeling — See Inside Any Process
Take any function of your company and break it into what goes in, what happens, and what comes out.
- The hidden inputs and outputs inside your business you don't know exist right now — and why they're probably the reason a process that should be working... isn't
- Why the first thing most founders do when trying to fix a broken process is the one thing that guarantees they'll never find the real problem
- How one ecom brand traced wrong-address deliveries back to a single missing step between "order picked" and "label printed" — the fix took an afternoon, the problem had been costing them for months
- The question to ask when you have no idea what's going wrong in a department (it takes 5 minutes, costs nothing, and almost nobody thinks to do it)
- How to chain black boxes together to trace a problem from the moment a customer places an order all the way to their doorstep
After this module, you'll map a real process from your own business.
Everything is a Funnel — Find Where You're Bleeding
Apply funnel thinking to fulfillment, hiring, retention, support, and everything else. Find the bottleneck costing you the most.
- Why you already know how to do this — you just haven't applied it outside of marketing yet — and what happens when you use the same funnel logic on customer support, hiring, and fulfillment
- How a subscription business discovered their welcome packet was retaining 99% of customers... but one step further down was quietly losing 11%
- The "reverse funnel" that uses the same framework to shrink complaints, refunds, and chargebacks — not just grow revenue
- How to calculate exactly how many job post impressions you need to make one great hire — and whether paying for job ads is worth it at all
- The 10-minute funnel audit that shows you, with math, the single stage where one improvement has the biggest downstream impact
After this module, you'll run the 10-minute funnel audit on a workflow in your business. Most people find their biggest bottleneck here.
Measurement is Mandatory — Stop Trusting Numbers That Lie
Which metrics actually predict outcomes vs. which ones just make you feel confident when you shouldn't be.
- Two charts from the exact same data — one looks like your best week ever, the other shows performance dropping by half. The only difference is one layer of context most founders never add
- The specific type of metric that acts as an early warning system — and why 90% of founders only track the one that tells you about a problem after it's too late to fix cheaply
- A customer complaint tracking method that uses a 7-day time lag to match complaints to the orders that caused them — and why this catches trends that daily numbers completely miss
- Why measuring something you don't fully control is a waste of your time — and what to measure instead
- The "consequence test" for figuring out which metrics actually matter enough to check daily vs. which ones you're obsessing over for no real reason
After this module, you'll identify the leading indicators for your highest-priority process.
The Trend Chart, Part 1 — See If You're Improving or Just Busy
If you implement one thing from this course, make it this.
- Why staring at a table of numbers for 3 minutes gives you less useful information than glancing at this chart for 3 seconds
- What your numbers need to tell you beyond just "what happened" — most metrics lack two critical things: context and direction. Without both, you're making decisions off incomplete information and calling it data-driven
- How to add a single dashed line to any chart that instantly tells you whether you're ahead or behind your target — without opening another tab or dashboard
- The "complementary metric" trick that turns a flat revenue chart into something that shows you not just what happened but why
- How the trend chart replaces four things at once: gut feel, spreadsheet overload, single-day overreaction, and hoping things will work out
After this module, you'll set up the framework for your first trend chart using your own data.
The Trend Chart, Part 2 — Build One Live
I built a working trend chart from scratch using real data from one of my businesses. You follow along.
- Watch a "massive revenue spike" turn out to be completely unremarkable once normalized — then watch a quiet stretch nobody noticed where revenue per visitor actually doubled
- The single most powerful question you'll ever ask your own data: "What were we doing during this stretch? Did we have control over it? And if we did... why did we stop?"
- How to go from raw daily numbers with wild swings to a smooth trend line showing the actual direction of your business — using one formula change in Google Sheets
- A done-for-you workbook with every formula pre-built. Plug in your two key metrics and your target. Your first trend chart is live in minutes, not days
After this module, your first working trend chart is live, built from your actual numbers. This is where most people have their first "I can't believe I've been running blind" moment.
The Trend Chart, Part 3 — Your Early Warning System
What happens over weeks and months once trend charts are running.
- How to spot a rising complaint rate or creeping cost increase weeks before it turns into an existential crisis — while other founders are still reacting to yesterday's number
- Why your team members will start self-correcting their own performance once they can see their trend lines drifting from target (you won't even have to say anything)
- The "green light" principle: two weeks of positive trend data gave my team confidence to push harder and scale a new offer weeks ahead of the original timeline
- How to connect specific actions your team took on specific days to the metric movements that followed — so you finally know which activities are actually generating results
- Why catching a small problem early with a trend chart saves roughly 10x the cost, time, and stress of the fire drill you'd have to run if you caught it a month later
After this module, you'll configure your trend chart as an early warning system so the next time something starts to go wrong, you see it coming before it costs you.
Document, Train, Handoff — Get Out of the Day-to-Day
Hand things off and actually trust the handoff.
- Why the handoff isn't the risky part — the risk is trying to hand something off when you can't see whether it's working. Once the system is in place, delegation goes from terrifying to routine
- The real reason most founders who try to delegate end up doing more work than before: they can't measure the handoff
- Why you shouldn't end up with a multi-page SOP (and what to do instead that actually gets used)
- The single non-obvious thing you have to train every team member on (hint: it has nothing to do with the steps of the process)
- How putting the right system in place lets you bring in a less expensive hire who actually outperforms the more expensive person they're replacing
After this module, you'll have a documented handoff plan for one process in your business, ready to hand to someone else with a trend chart to monitor it.
Bonus: The Trend Chart Workbook
Done-for-you Google Sheets with pre-built trend chart templates. All formulas included. Plug in your numbers and your first working trend chart is live in minutes — not days.
What founders are saying
"I kept telling myself I just needed to hire the right person and things would click. What I actually needed was to understand my own business well enough to know what right even looked like. This course gave me that. I mapped my product sourcing process and my cancellation flows, built trend charts for each one, and for the first time in four years I feel like I know how my business is actually flowing. I hired a new ops coordinator about six weeks after finishing and knew exactly how to evaluate her from day one."
"I've bought a lot of courses I never finished. This one I knocked out on a Sunday and had a trend chart running on my customer complaints before the end of the day. Within a few weeks it surfaced a recurring problem that was costing me hundreds of dollars a week in returns. I've already flagged it with my supplier and they're fixing it. The system is simple and that's exactly why it works."
Right for some. Not for everyone.
- You're doing $50K–$200K/month and know something needs to change but don't know where to start
- You've tried delegating and it fell apart because you couldn't tell if the handoff was working
- You're about to hire and want to hold them accountable from day one
- You want to launch new revenue-boosting products and increase revenue on existing ones
- You want to take a real vacation without your phone buzzing every 20 minutes
- You're pre-revenue or still finding product-market fit
- You want someone to come in and do this for you
- You're not willing to look at your business honestly
The ROI Guarantee
Pick any revenue or cost activity in your business. Apply the framework. Track it for 90 days.
If you don't save or generate at least 10x what you paid, one email gets you a full refund. No proof required. I trust you.
I've watched founders find $100K in hidden revenue. Save $50K on a bad launch caught in the first week. Get 3 hours a day back they'd been spending giving direction one person at a time. This course pays for itself fast.
Get the operating system that lets you predict — not guess — how to add 6- and 7-figures to your business every year, while giving you the freedom to step away knowing everything won't fall apart
$497One-time payment · Instant access · 90-day 10x ROI guarantee
Yes — Give Me Rhythm & ResultsCommon questions
Ready to stop guessing?
Join the founders using the Operational Prediction System to find hidden revenue, prevent costly mistakes, and finally step away from the day-to-day.
Yes — Give Me Rhythm & Results$497 · Instant access · 90-day 10x ROI guarantee